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Into the Unknown: A Historical Lesson

In 2004, I wrote the book Into the Unknown: Leadership Lessons from Lewis & Clark’s Daring Westward Expedition. One of my favorite stories—because it has so much relevance for today’s political leaders—occurred during the early part of June 1805.

On June 2, 1805, Lewis and Clark approached a fork in the Missouri River. During their consultations with the Indians the previous winter the Indians had said nothing of a second river. Nevertheless, it was critical that the Corps of Discovery follow the true Missouri River. If they didn’t, they were unlikely to reach and successfully pass over the Rocky Mountains before winter. This setback would have jeopardized the entire mission.

Lewis and Clark split their team up and sent one group up the north river and a second group down the south river. After three days, both teams returned and were still unsure as to which river was the true Missouri.

Lewis and Clark being the good leaders that they were then split up. Meriwether Lewis traveled north and William Clark went south. After a few days the two men returned and they still weren’t sure.

While they were away something very interesting occurred. All 30 members of the team determined that the north river was the true Missouri. They reached this decision the following way: For the past year, the Corps of Discovery had been traveling up the Missouri River and the water was “warm, slow, muddy and brown.” The water of the north river was also “warm, slow, muddy and brown,” therefore they reasoned it was the true Missouri. It is the equivalent of saying that “Tomorrow is going to be pretty much like yesterday.”

Lewis and Clark conferred among themselves and reached a far different conclusion. In the face of complete opposition, they announced the south river was the true Missouri. They reasoned as follows: At some point the snow from the mountains needed to melt and when it did it would create a river that was cold, fast and clear.” Those characteristics matched the south river and, as history demonstrated, the two captains made the correct decision.

My point is this: Many, if not most, of the leaders in both the DFL and Republican continue to think that -- and act as though -- “tomorrow will be pretty much like yesterday.” From my perch as an author and professional business forecaster, I see the trends in biotechnology, nanotechnology, information technology, RFID, social networking and robotics (to name but a few) are accelerating and I know that tomorrow is going to be radically different then either yesterday or today—and we need more independent (and Independence Party) leaders with the courage to head out into the unknown.

Comments (1)

A train runs without safeguards
written by Tim Nelson , June 24, 2009

I think most of you have heard about a recent train-wreck. A new-tech electronic crash avoidance system was either broken, or not being used. This will not have been the first time that safety equipment was disabled for being such a bother.

Watching this story unfold made me think of this post by Jack.

The two big parties seem to navigate by what they see in the track ahead. Not very far ahead, by any stretch of the imagination.

But lest anyone think I am casting the Independence party in the role of a safeguard for the process, I'm not.

No, the role of a viable third party is one of being a visionary, not one that has it's pockets stuffed with the standard operating procedures that we are all accustomed to.

Tim Nelson




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...here's the operative quote: 'When underdogs choose not to play by Goliath's rules, they win.'

Jack Uldrich in "How the IP Can Win" Join the discussion

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